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開展時間: 2025-02-11
舉辦單位: 美國加州圖拉爾國際展覽中心
地點(diǎn): 巴彥淖爾市
開展時間: 2025-02-22
舉辦單位: 內(nèi)蒙古春季農(nóng)機(jī)展組委會
地點(diǎn): 廣州市
開展時間: 2025-02-25
舉辦單位: 廣州光亞法蘭克福展覽有限公司
2019年1-6月農(nóng)機(jī)市場景氣指數(shù)出爐,下半年能否實(shí)現(xiàn)增長?
2019-07-09
17:20:18
來源:農(nóng)機(jī)網(wǎng)原創(chuàng) 作者:林言 閱讀量:51098
評論
導(dǎo)讀: 近日,中國農(nóng)機(jī)流通協(xié)會發(fā)布了2019年6月中國農(nóng)機(jī)市場景氣指數(shù)(AMI),從數(shù)據(jù)來看,6月份AMI依然不景氣。2019年已過半,回顧今年以來的 AMI 走勢,可以看出今年嚴(yán)峻的農(nóng)機(jī)市場形勢。先來看一下這6個月的具體數(shù)據(jù):
【農(nóng)機(jī)網(wǎng) 市場行情 】 近日,中國農(nóng)機(jī)流通協(xié)會發(fā)布了2019年6月中國農(nóng)機(jī)市場景氣指數(shù)(AMI),從數(shù)據(jù)來看,6月份AMI依然不景氣。2019年已過半,回顧今年以來的 AMI 走勢,可以看出今年嚴(yán)峻的農(nóng)機(jī)市場形勢。先來看一下這6個月的具體數(shù)據(jù):
1月份AMI指數(shù)為45.6%,比上月提升8.0個百分點(diǎn),比上年同期提升13.2個百分點(diǎn);
2月份AMI指數(shù)為46.1%,比上月提升10.5個百分點(diǎn),比上年同期提升3.6個百分點(diǎn);
3月份AMI指數(shù)為57.2%,比上月提升10.9個百分點(diǎn),比上年同期下降5.0個百分點(diǎn);
4月份AMI指數(shù)為47.2%,比上月下降10.0個百分點(diǎn),比上年同期下降9.9個百分點(diǎn);
5月份AMI指數(shù)為40.4%,比上月下降6.8個百分點(diǎn),比上年同期下降4.9個百分點(diǎn);
6月份AMI指數(shù)為36.6%,比上月下降3.8個百分點(diǎn),比上年同期下降1.0個百分點(diǎn)。(數(shù)據(jù)來源:中國農(nóng)機(jī)流通協(xié)會)
從數(shù)據(jù)可以看出,4、5、6月份同比、環(huán)比呈現(xiàn)“三連跌”,二季度的三個月皆徘徊在不景氣區(qū)間。除3月份進(jìn)入景氣區(qū)間外,其它各個月份均在榮枯線下震蕩,上半年農(nóng)機(jī)市場不容樂觀。
據(jù)行業(yè)專家分析,6月份的總指數(shù)以及各個分指數(shù)的環(huán)比持續(xù)下行,意味著今年農(nóng)機(jī)市場的困境在加深。因?yàn)閺霓r(nóng)時和近年農(nóng)機(jī)市場走勢規(guī)律看,6 月份是農(nóng)機(jī)市場淡季的開端,加之今年農(nóng)機(jī)市場面臨的諸多利空因素,更加讓淡季雪上加霜。那么,今年下半年的農(nóng)機(jī)市場是不是增長無望了?筆者以為,也不盡然。
據(jù)中國農(nóng)機(jī)流通協(xié)會市場調(diào)查,上半年小拖市場同比大幅度下跌,大中拖市場同比小幅增長 3.8%;自走輪式、履帶式谷物聯(lián)合
收獲機(jī) 和玉米收獲機(jī)同比分別下跌 6.25%、8.76%和 5.56%,
插秧機(jī) 市場同比大幅度下滑 20%以上。
雖然主流農(nóng)機(jī)產(chǎn)品市場依舊下行,但市場上還是有些小眾農(nóng)機(jī)領(lǐng)域會繼續(xù)增長,例如
棉花加工機(jī) 械制造、畜牧機(jī)械制造、其他農(nóng)林牧漁業(yè)機(jī)械等,除此之外還有畜禽糞污資源化利用機(jī)械也是新的增長點(diǎn)。雖然這些小眾農(nóng)機(jī)市場份額不比主流農(nóng)機(jī),但總歸能給行業(yè)帶來信心。
畜禽糞污資源化利用 裝備
畜禽糞污處理裝備可以說是今年比較“火”的小眾農(nóng)機(jī)。國家多次出臺政策推進(jìn)畜禽糞污資源化利用,要求到2020年全國畜禽糞污綜合利用率達(dá)到75%以上,并對畜禽養(yǎng)殖廢棄物資源化利用裝備實(shí)行敞開補(bǔ)貼,把清糞機(jī)、糞污固液分離機(jī)作為通用補(bǔ)貼產(chǎn)品,納入支持農(nóng)業(yè)綠色發(fā)展的機(jī)具,要求作為優(yōu)先保證補(bǔ)貼的產(chǎn)品。 同時, 清糞機(jī)、糞污固液分離機(jī)、撒肥機(jī)、畜禽糞便發(fā)酵處理機(jī)、有機(jī)廢棄物好氧發(fā)酵翻堆機(jī)、畜禽尸體處理機(jī)、有機(jī)廢棄物干式厭氧發(fā)酵裝置、有機(jī)肥加工設(shè)備、沼氣發(fā)電機(jī)組、沼液沼渣抽排設(shè)備 等10種已有推廣鑒定大綱的產(chǎn)品列為加快鑒定推廣的畜禽糞污資源化利用機(jī)具。
畜牧業(yè)機(jī)械
據(jù)國家統(tǒng)計(jì)局的統(tǒng)計(jì)數(shù)據(jù)顯示,2016年我國畜牧業(yè)總產(chǎn)值突破3萬億元,2017和2018連續(xù)兩年均保持在3萬億元以上??梢娊陙砦覈竽廉a(chǎn)業(yè)正向著更高層次不斷升級,進(jìn)入了新的發(fā)展階段。2018年全國畜牧業(yè)養(yǎng)殖戶超過1億家,畜禽養(yǎng)殖規(guī)?;式咏?0%左右,畜禽糞污綜合利用率達(dá)到70%,可以說規(guī)?;F(xiàn)代養(yǎng)殖已經(jīng)成為畜牧業(yè)生產(chǎn)的中堅(jiān)力量。
行業(yè)皆知,農(nóng)機(jī)市場自2015年出現(xiàn)“斷崖式”下跌以來,畜牧機(jī)械在眾多產(chǎn)品中“*”,實(shí)現(xiàn)了快速增長。畜牧機(jī)械作為新興小眾農(nóng)機(jī)品類的代表,2018年整體市場銷量增幅超過了兩位數(shù),成為為數(shù)不多的增長品類的*,吸引了大家關(guān)注的目光。
雖然畜牧業(yè)機(jī)械這幾年發(fā)展速度較快,但在產(chǎn)品品類、生產(chǎn)質(zhì)量上依然需要實(shí)現(xiàn)升級與長足進(jìn)步,以促進(jìn)畜牧產(chǎn)業(yè)全程全面機(jī)械化。行業(yè)專家認(rèn)為,接下來幾年內(nèi),國內(nèi)農(nóng)機(jī)產(chǎn)業(yè)畜牧機(jī)械品類如飼養(yǎng)機(jī)械、飼料加工機(jī)械、草原牧業(yè)機(jī)械、草場維護(hù)和改良機(jī)械、牧場管理設(shè)備、牧草和青飼料收獲機(jī)械、奶業(yè)機(jī)械等面臨著良好的發(fā)展機(jī)遇。 下半年的畜牧機(jī)械市場情況會怎樣,讓我們拭目以待。
采棉機(jī)械
近幾年來,和畜牧機(jī)械一起實(shí)現(xiàn)增長的小眾農(nóng)機(jī)還有一類大型農(nóng)機(jī)——采棉機(jī)。采棉機(jī)對生產(chǎn)技術(shù)要求較高,是衡量一個國家農(nóng)業(yè)技術(shù)裝備的標(biāo)志性機(jī)械。我國是世界上大的棉花生產(chǎn)國和消費(fèi)國,隨著勞動力成本越來越高,實(shí)現(xiàn)棉花采收機(jī)械化至關(guān)重要。國產(chǎn)采棉機(jī)自2015年來逐漸崛起,尤其是2018年市場呈現(xiàn)了火爆的增長趨勢。據(jù)統(tǒng)計(jì),2018采棉機(jī)銷量已經(jīng)超過400臺套,新疆南疆地區(qū)甚至出現(xiàn)了經(jīng)銷商斷貨的情況。除新疆地區(qū)外,黃河流域、長江流域、華南等棉區(qū)采棉機(jī)市場還有很大空間。受市場、政策等因素的推動,筆者認(rèn)為今年下半年棉花收獲季節(jié)采棉機(jī)會再次迎來。
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