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2023年農(nóng)機(jī)市場復(fù)蘇乏力，持續(xù)向好的基本面未變

2023-12-14 17:17:39 來源：農(nóng)機(jī)網(wǎng)整理發(fā)布 閱讀量：29699 評論

導(dǎo)讀：12月12日，在貴州貴陽召開的2023年全國農(nóng)機(jī)工業(yè)工作會議暨協(xié)會六屆五次理事會上，中國農(nóng)機(jī)工業(yè)協(xié)會執(zhí)行副會長兼秘書長寧學(xué)貴作了題為“抗住壓力、行穩(wěn)致遠(yuǎn)”的報告。

　　【農(nóng)機(jī)網(wǎng) 市場行情】農(nóng)業(yè)機(jī)械的發(fā)展對于提高農(nóng)業(yè)生產(chǎn)效率、改善農(nóng)業(yè)生產(chǎn)條件、提高農(nóng)民收入等方面都具有重要的意義。因2022年國三設(shè)備去庫存，提前透支了需求，加之升級到國四標(biāo)準(zhǔn)使得終端價格上升、用戶購買力下降，使用成本上升，致使2023年農(nóng)機(jī)市場增長創(chuàng)下歷史新低，拖拉機(jī)和收獲機(jī)械都出現(xiàn)了不同程度的下滑。
 
　　12月12日，在貴州貴陽召開的2023年全國農(nóng)機(jī)工業(yè)工作會議暨協(xié)會六屆五次理事會上，中國農(nóng)機(jī)工業(yè)協(xié)會執(zhí)行副會長兼秘書長寧學(xué)貴作了題為“抗住壓力、行穩(wěn)致遠(yuǎn)”的報告，對2023年度農(nóng)機(jī)工業(yè)運(yùn)行進(jìn)行了分析。
 
　　農(nóng)機(jī)工業(yè)差強(qiáng)人意，在機(jī)械行業(yè)排名末位：
  
　　2023年中國農(nóng)機(jī)工業(yè)基本狀況：2199家規(guī)模以上企業(yè)，業(yè)務(wù)收入預(yù)計2400億，業(yè)務(wù)收入同比下降10.38%; 利潤總額同比下降 14.36%。
 
　　70%的細(xì)分行業(yè)出現(xiàn)下降：
 
　　主要糧油作物耕種收機(jī)械、畜牧機(jī)械、零部件等主要行業(yè)表現(xiàn)欠佳。
 
　　多數(shù)農(nóng)機(jī)產(chǎn)品產(chǎn)量市場低迷（部分成熟產(chǎn)品受政策刺激拉動增長）：
 
　　2023年1-10月份打捆機(jī)銷量同比下滑2269%；手扶插秧機(jī)銷量同比下滑7.25%；高速乘坐插秧機(jī)銷量同比增長43.51；玉米收獲機(jī)銷量同比下滑25.8%；履帶拖拉機(jī)銷量同比下滑29.73%；輪式收獲機(jī)銷量同比下滑24.9%；手扶拖拉機(jī)銷量同比下滑0.12%；小四輪銷量同比增長95.29%；大中拖銷量同比下滑6.09%。
 
　　拖拉機(jī)市場銷量好過預(yù)期：
 
　　1-10月骨干企業(yè)大中拖產(chǎn)量同比下滑6.09%——
 
　　產(chǎn)量超過萬臺的5家企業(yè)，部首企業(yè)產(chǎn)量超過7萬臺；
 
　　產(chǎn)量增長的企業(yè)占36%，減少的占64%；
 
　　大中拖出口增長28.14%，其中外企業(yè)出口占1536%。
 
　　1-10月骨干企業(yè)大中拖銷量同比下滑16.86%。

 
　　自走式收獲機(jī)市場銷量：
 
　　輪式收獲機(jī)銷量下滑33.53%，喂入量8公斤以上的產(chǎn)品占99.35%，頭部企業(yè)業(yè)績優(yōu)異；
 
　　玉米收獲機(jī)銷量下滑33.33%，莖穗兼收玉米收獲機(jī)搶手，區(qū)域市場有冠軍；
 
　　水稻收獲機(jī)銷量下滑41.82%，小喂入量機(jī)型商品化提速，半喂入收割機(jī)增長12.24%。
 
 
　　企業(yè)效益：
 
　　企業(yè)虧損額增加超過15%——需求不足拖累，致開工率低，產(chǎn)品同質(zhì)化、行業(yè)內(nèi)卷加劇。
 
　　存貨金額大幅增長——骨干企業(yè)大中拖庫存增加49.06%，達(dá)到峰值；財務(wù)費(fèi)用增長超過100%。
 
　　國四切換：成績斐然
 
　　骨干企業(yè)準(zhǔn)備到位，國四新產(chǎn)品按期無縫供給市場；
 
　　排放再生、系統(tǒng)穩(wěn)定性等質(zhì)量問題比預(yù)期的少；
 
　　柴油機(jī)企業(yè)發(fā)揮“動力”支撐，后處理技術(shù)和智能控制同步開發(fā)；
 
　　農(nóng)機(jī)智能化和新能源動力應(yīng)用研發(fā)提速。
 
　　
　　受國際環(huán)境影響，出口壓力增大：
 
　　1-10月我國農(nóng)機(jī)累計出口金額比去年同期下降4.5%。
 
　　1-10月，我國農(nóng)機(jī)累計進(jìn)口金額比去年同期增長36%。其中，拖拉機(jī)累計進(jìn)口數(shù)量為956輛，進(jìn)口金額同比增長121.8%; 收獲機(jī)械累計進(jìn)口數(shù)量為3538臺，累計進(jìn)口金額比去年同期增長58.1%；大型二手農(nóng)機(jī)進(jìn)口呈增長趨勢。
 
　　目前，我國農(nóng)機(jī)工業(yè)發(fā)展面臨著諸多困難和挑戰(zhàn)，雖然短期內(nèi)市場復(fù)蘇乏力，但持續(xù)向好的基本面沒有變，具體表現(xiàn)：
 
　　農(nóng)業(yè)農(nóng)村部、工業(yè)和信息化部聯(lián)合啟動農(nóng)機(jī)裝備補(bǔ)短板行動兩年來，聚焦大型大馬力機(jī)械、丘陵山區(qū)適用小型機(jī)械以及智能化等領(lǐng)域的農(nóng)機(jī)裝備短板扎實開展攻關(guān)，一批關(guān)鍵機(jī)具研發(fā)應(yīng)用取得明顯進(jìn)展，一些地方農(nóng)機(jī)裝備產(chǎn)業(yè)集群正在形成，產(chǎn)業(yè)鏈韌性進(jìn)一步增強(qiáng)，農(nóng)機(jī)裝備正加快向“大中小型兼?zhèn)洹⒕G色高效智能一體”邁進(jìn)。
 
　　近年來，國家倡議“一帶一路”，倡導(dǎo)本土農(nóng)機(jī)企業(yè)“走出去”，也收獲了大批頭目企業(yè)的積極響應(yīng)。
 
　　國四升級帶來產(chǎn)業(yè)優(yōu)化，企業(yè)積極自我迭代升級，加速優(yōu)勝劣汰，促進(jìn)農(nóng)機(jī)行業(yè)穩(wěn)健發(fā)展。
 
　　
 
　　注：本文由農(nóng)機(jī)網(wǎng)（m.epigene.com.cn）整理發(fā)布，數(shù)據(jù)來源：中國農(nóng)機(jī)工業(yè)協(xié)會企業(yè)管理委員會、海關(guān)總署。

上一篇： 2023年1-11月：我國拖拉機(jī)累計出口數(shù)量同比增長16.2%

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