2021年農(nóng)機(jī)行業(yè)形勢分析報(bào)告會(huì)在青島舉辦

2021-11-03 10:07:06 來源：中國農(nóng)機(jī)流通協(xié)會(huì) 閱讀量：23908 評(píng)論

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 2021年農(nóng)機(jī)行業(yè)形勢分析報(bào)告會(huì)

 
　　10月27日， 2021年農(nóng)機(jī)行業(yè)形勢分析報(bào)告會(huì)在2021中國國際農(nóng)機(jī)展同期舉辦。中國農(nóng)業(yè)機(jī)械工業(yè)協(xié)會(huì)副會(huì)長兼秘書長寧學(xué)貴、中國農(nóng)業(yè)機(jī)械流通協(xié)會(huì)副會(huì)長游凌，中國農(nóng)業(yè)機(jī)械流通協(xié)會(huì)秘書處總監(jiān)張華光等出席并作報(bào)告。報(bào)告會(huì)由中國農(nóng)業(yè)機(jī)械流通協(xié)會(huì)信息部主任張文博主持。

中國農(nóng)業(yè)機(jī)械流通協(xié)會(huì)信息部主任張文博
 
　　中國農(nóng)業(yè)機(jī)械工業(yè)協(xié)會(huì)副會(huì)長兼秘書長寧學(xué)貴介紹了2021年1-9月份農(nóng)機(jī)工業(yè)的運(yùn)行情況。寧學(xué)貴表示，農(nóng)機(jī)行業(yè)今年總體運(yùn)行情況良好，至9月份，農(nóng)機(jī)骨干企業(yè)業(yè)務(wù)收入同比增長10.87%，規(guī)模以上企業(yè)業(yè)務(wù)收入增長好于去年。另根據(jù)國家統(tǒng)計(jì)局?jǐn)?shù)據(jù)，上半年骨干企業(yè)利潤總額增長29%，主營業(yè)務(wù)成本增長18%，財(cái)務(wù)費(fèi)用降低41%，人均工資增長14%。
 

中國農(nóng)業(yè)機(jī)械工業(yè)協(xié)會(huì)副會(huì)長兼秘書長寧學(xué)貴
 
　　根據(jù)中國農(nóng)機(jī)工業(yè)協(xié)會(huì)統(tǒng)計(jì)，截至9月大中拖產(chǎn)量同比增幅9%，其中110-160馬力段保持增長，220-260馬力段產(chǎn)量增幅下降。拖拉機(jī)行業(yè)骨干企業(yè)投資力度加大，核心部件自制力增強(qiáng)，行業(yè)呈現(xiàn)強(qiáng)者更強(qiáng)的形勢。輪式收獲機(jī)增幅為36%，玉米收獲機(jī)增幅顯著，達(dá)47%。得益于高速乘坐式插秧機(jī)的大幅增長，插秧機(jī)產(chǎn)品總體實(shí)現(xiàn)14%的增幅。壓捆機(jī)方面則增幅22%。
 
　　此外，今年農(nóng)機(jī)行業(yè)還呈現(xiàn)出多點(diǎn)開花的欣喜局面，飼草機(jī)械增長明顯；采棉打包機(jī)市場龍爭虎斗；花生收獲機(jī)、殘膜回收機(jī)競爭者增加；辣椒、蔬菜等經(jīng)濟(jì)作物機(jī)械化也得到了強(qiáng)力推進(jìn)。
 
　　寧學(xué)貴表示，當(dāng)下糧食安全作為國家戰(zhàn)略被高度重視，傳統(tǒng)農(nóng)機(jī)產(chǎn)品更新?lián)Q代比重加大，薄弱環(huán)節(jié)裝備需求強(qiáng)烈，國四排放升級(jí)也積極推動(dòng)著產(chǎn)業(yè)升級(jí)，至明年上半年，農(nóng)機(jī)工業(yè)運(yùn)行情況較為樂觀。

中國農(nóng)業(yè)機(jī)械流通協(xié)會(huì)副會(huì)長游凌
 
　　隨后，中國農(nóng)業(yè)機(jī)械流通協(xié)會(huì)副會(huì)長游凌作了“信息化服務(wù)助力農(nóng)機(jī)行業(yè)發(fā)展”的報(bào)告。
 
　　游凌首先介紹了中國農(nóng)機(jī)流通協(xié)會(huì)信息部的基本情況。該部門主要開展市場研究、動(dòng)態(tài)監(jiān)測、專題調(diào)研、政策法規(guī)、行業(yè)報(bào)告、信息搜集等工作，以著力搭建全面、高效、可信的農(nóng)機(jī)行業(yè)信息化平臺(tái)。部門已構(gòu)建了遍布全國27個(gè)省、市、自治區(qū)，多達(dá)500余家網(wǎng)點(diǎn)的動(dòng)態(tài)監(jiān)測網(wǎng)絡(luò)。根據(jù)監(jiān)測情況，定期制作農(nóng)機(jī)市場運(yùn)行監(jiān)測報(bào)告、市場專題調(diào)研報(bào)告，并形成了每月公布的農(nóng)機(jī)市場景氣指數(shù)(AMI)、《中國農(nóng)機(jī)市場發(fā)展報(bào)告》、《中國農(nóng)機(jī)流通發(fā)展研究報(bào)告》等多元化的信息產(chǎn)品。
 
　　游凌在會(huì)上詳細(xì)介紹了《中國農(nóng)機(jī)流通發(fā)展研究報(bào)告》(2020-2021)的相關(guān)內(nèi)容。該報(bào)告從我國農(nóng)機(jī)流通規(guī)模、農(nóng)機(jī)流通企業(yè)區(qū)域分布、近三年發(fā)展變化走勢、存在的突出問題等幾個(gè)方面詳述了我國農(nóng)機(jī)流通的現(xiàn)狀。介紹了傳統(tǒng)農(nóng)機(jī)流通模式及幾種創(chuàng)新農(nóng)機(jī)流通模式的探索?！秷?bào)告》還對(duì)農(nóng)機(jī)流通發(fā)展提出了幾點(diǎn)建議并做了詳細(xì)說明，包括重塑經(jīng)營理念，優(yōu)化業(yè)務(wù)構(gòu)成；創(chuàng)新服務(wù)模式，提升核心競爭力；打造經(jīng)銷商品牌；完善內(nèi)部管理；提升市場研究能力，關(guān)注市場權(quán)力轉(zhuǎn)移；提升戰(zhàn)略控制能力等。
 
　　據(jù)悉，該《報(bào)告》是中國農(nóng)機(jī)流通協(xié)會(huì)信息部首次發(fā)布系統(tǒng)性的農(nóng)機(jī)流通行業(yè)研究成果，報(bào)告采用來自農(nóng)機(jī)補(bǔ)貼、市場調(diào)研、國家統(tǒng)計(jì)局相關(guān)數(shù)據(jù)，遵循從新、從實(shí)原則，并使用理論論證與市場調(diào)研實(shí)證分析相結(jié)合的方式，其中涉及的理論觀點(diǎn)充分征求了具有代表性的經(jīng)銷商的意見。此外，引用大量來自農(nóng)機(jī)經(jīng)銷商調(diào)研的成果，是《報(bào)告》的又一重要特色。中國農(nóng)機(jī)流通協(xié)會(huì)信息部專門設(shè)計(jì)了調(diào)研問卷，抽樣調(diào)查了 1300 多家經(jīng)銷商，形成了較為客觀的結(jié)論，對(duì)旁證理論觀點(diǎn)發(fā)揮了重要作用。
 
　　游凌最后表示，歡迎經(jīng)銷商同仁加入中國農(nóng)機(jī)流通協(xié)會(huì)的市場動(dòng)態(tài)監(jiān)測網(wǎng)點(diǎn)，經(jīng)銷商提供一個(gè)監(jiān)測“點(diǎn)”，協(xié)會(huì)可回饋一個(gè)信息“面”。
 

中國農(nóng)機(jī)流通協(xié)會(huì)秘書處總監(jiān)張華光
 
　　中國農(nóng)機(jī)流通協(xié)會(huì)秘書處總監(jiān)張華光在會(huì)上分析與預(yù)測了2021-2022年的農(nóng)機(jī)市場。他表示，今年前3季度是我國農(nóng)機(jī)市場多年未遇的特殊年份。一方面面臨著去年疫情影響下的市場“洼地”，同比起伏巨大；另一方面，原材料價(jià)格大幅度漲價(jià)，推高生產(chǎn)企業(yè)成本。限電壓制產(chǎn)能，形成部分市場缺貨。加之今年是補(bǔ)貼政策三年一調(diào)整的新三年之第一年，許多區(qū)域的補(bǔ)貼政策尚不明朗。多重因素的交互作用，決定了今年農(nóng)機(jī)市場的特點(diǎn)較為突出。
 
　　張華光表示，今年農(nóng)機(jī)市場具有穩(wěn)中向好，走勢如同過山車；多重利好驅(qū)動(dòng)，出口大幅攀升；利潤縮水，競爭演繹馬太效應(yīng)；產(chǎn)品為王，偏好突出；原材料漲價(jià)、限電、自然環(huán)境突變等黑天鵝事件頻出等特點(diǎn)。
 
　　張華光隨后詳述了拖拉機(jī)、收獲機(jī)、插秧機(jī)、播種機(jī)、植保機(jī)等五大類別農(nóng)機(jī)今年的市場表現(xiàn)，并介紹了植保類機(jī)械、打捆機(jī)、秸稈還田機(jī)等細(xì)分市場的情況。據(jù)分析，低速發(fā)展將成為未來3-5年農(nóng)機(jī)市場發(fā)展的常態(tài)，市場需求將愈發(fā)呈現(xiàn)大型化——主要解決大田作物的機(jī)械化、小型化——主要解決丘陵、山區(qū)小田作物的機(jī)械化，和碎片化的趨勢，此外，高端、智能農(nóng)機(jī)亦將成為中國農(nóng)機(jī)企業(yè)的必爭戰(zhàn)略要地。

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